The Centre’s
activities are focused on research in behavioural and experimental
economics and on the dynamics of models of learning and adaptation.
Experimental economics
has found increasing use in exploring issues such as how people react to
different market or auction rules, their choices under differing degrees
of uncertainty, and the relative efficiency of alternative market and
non-market allocative institutions. Results have been used, for example,
to determine allocation of airport ‘slots’, to improve rules of
securities exchanges, and to design auctions for awards of communication
channels.
Behavioural economics
grew out of the interests of market researchers, cognitive scientists and
social psychologists. While much of the work is carried out with the use
of experiments; behavioural economics studies use a much wider range of
research methods. Some of the most prominent findings have been the ones
that raised serious questions about traditional behavioural assumptions of
economics. Behavioural economics findings are also being used in various
applied areas, such as finance and law. They have also been shown to be of
importance to environmental issues. These have included demonstrations
that people value losses, such as environmental losses, much more than
objectively commensurate gains, and weaknesses in current methods of
assessing the economic value of environmental changes.
Despite its
near universal acceptance, the Rational Expectations Hypothesis continues
to be controversial. Many researchers believe that it rests on implausible
informational assumptions. As an alternative, models of learning and
adaptation have gained in importance over the last decade. These are the
models that depart from traditional economic theory and assume bounded
rationality of economic agents (in various degrees). Economies are
inhabited by heterogeneous, interacting agents who have to learn about
their environment and, based on their learning, update their beliefs and
strategies, and make economic decisions. The updating of beliefs and the
resulting decisions, in turn, affect the economic outcomes. The
interactions between agents and economic environment result in, usually,
nonlinear self-referential systems with complex and interesting dynamics.
These models have been able to capture some important features of the
behavior observed in the experimental laboratories with human subjects
that the traditional theory has not been able to account for. In addition,
they can explain some of the important empirical facts about the behaviour
of economic time series that again the traditional theory could not
account for. On the other hand, experimental data can be used to test
competing hypotheses and models of agents' learning, and to narrow the
class of plausible algorithms.
Finally, models of
learning and adaptation can be used as computer testbeds for a thorough
search over the space of parameters that are relevant for the economic
model’s performance. Using experiments with human subjects to study
these effects is often prohibitively expensive in both monetary and time
resources. Thus computer testbeds can provide a valuable tool to study
these effects. The results will not only be significant in themselves but
they will provide a way to sort out what the most important experiments
might be.
Due to the
complementarity between experimental economics and behavioural models of
learning and adaptation, the field has grown rapidly
over the past decade and has attracted considerable interest. |