Spring 2026 - MATH 348 D100
Stochastic Modelling and Simulation (3)
Class Number: 5334
Delivery Method: In Person
Overview
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Course Times + Location:
Jan 5 – Apr 10, 2026: Mon, Wed, Fri, 3:30–4:20 p.m.
Burnaby
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Instructor:
Ailene MacPherson
ailenem@sfu.ca
1 778 782-4843
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Prerequisites:
STAT 270 and (MATH 232 or MATH 240), all with a minimum grade of C-. Strongly Recommended: Experience with a computing platform such as R, MATLAB, or Python.
Description
CALENDAR DESCRIPTION:
Modelling of real-life systems as Markov chains, including transient behaviour, limiting behaviour and classification of states, and using the exponential distribution and Poisson processes. Computational topics include generating and sampling random numbers, combinatorial objects and probability functions. Applications may include queueing systems, chemical kinetics, infectious diseases, and statistical physics. Quantitative.
COURSE DETAILS:
Topics:
- Introduction to probability for stochastic processes
- Introduction to non-parametric statistics
- Discrete-time discrete-space stochastic processes (with applications in population biology)
- Poisson processes
- Continuous-time discrete-state stochastic processes (with applications in population biology)
- Continuous-time continuous-space stochastic processes (with applications in population biology)
- Likelihood and Bayesian inference and the Metropolis-Hasting Algorithm
- Individual-based simulations
Grading
- Homework 30%
- Midterm 20%
- Project 20%
- Final 30%
NOTES:
Project will involve developing and analyzing a stochastic or simulation-based model for a given biological system. Students will receive an introduction to the biological process to be modelled and the focal questions to address. Using methods covered in the course they will then be required to propose a model to address the given questions, analyze the model, and write a 2-page report summarizing their approach and findings.
THE INSTRUCTOR RESERVES THE RIGHT TO CHANGE ANY OF THE ABOVE INFORMATION.
Students should be aware that they have certain rights to confidentiality concerning the return of course papers and the posting of marks. Please pay careful attention to the options discussed in class at the beginning of the semester
Materials
MATERIALS + SUPPLIES:
All materials will be provided
REQUIRED READING:
No required text, all materials will be provided
REQUIRED READING NOTES:
Your personalized Course Material list, including digital and physical textbooks, are available through the SFU Bookstore website by simply entering your Computing ID at: shop.sfu.ca/course-materials/my-personalized-course-materials.
Registrar Notes:
ACADEMIC INTEGRITY: YOUR WORK, YOUR SUCCESS
At SFU, you are expected to act honestly and responsibly in all your academic work. Cheating, plagiarism, or any other form of academic dishonesty harms your own learning, undermines the efforts of your classmates who pursue their studies honestly, and goes against the core values of the university.
To learn more about the academic disciplinary process and relevant academic supports, visit:
- SFU’s Academic Integrity Policy: S10-01 Policy
- SFU’s Academic Integrity website, which includes helpful videos and tips in plain language: Academic Integrity at SFU
RELIGIOUS ACCOMMODATION
Students with a faith background who may need accommodations during the term are encouraged to assess their needs as soon as possible and review the Multifaith religious accommodations website. The page outlines ways they begin working toward an accommodation and ensure solutions can be reached in a timely fashion.