Mark Pickup

ASSOCIATE PROFESSOR, Simon Fraser University
ASSOCIATE MEMBER, Nuffield College, University of Oxford

B.Sc. (University of Calgary)
B.A. (University of Calgary)
M.A. (University of Calgary)
Ph.D. (University of British Columbia)


Email : mark_pickup@sfu.ca
Phone : 778-782-8640
Office location : AQ6039


Mark Pickup is an Associate Professor in the Department of Political Science at Simon Fraser University. He is also a Visiting Fellow in the Department of Politics at the University of Oxford.

Mark is a specialist in Comparative Politics and Political Methodology. Substantively, his research primarily falls into three areas: the economy and democratic accountability; polls and electoral outcomes; and conditions of democratic responsiveness. His research focuses on political information, public opinion, the media, election campaigns and electoral institutions within North American and European countries. His methodological interests concern the analysis of longitudinal data (time series, panel, network, etc.) with a secondary interest in Bayesian analysis.



Pickup, Mark. Introduction to Time Series. Series: Quantitative Applications in the Social Sciences (2014). Thousand Oaks, California: Sage Publications, Inc..

PUBLICATIONS – Journal Articles

Robert Ford, Will Jennings, Mark Pickup and Christopher Wlezien “From Polls to Votes to Seats: Forecasting the 2015 British Election.” Electoral Studies. In press.

Immerzeel, Tim and Mark Pickup. “Populist Radical Right Parties Mobilizing 'the People'? The Role of Populist Radical Right Success in Voter Turnout.” Electoral Studies. In press and Published online.

Pickup, Mark, and Sara B. Hobolt. “The Conditionality of the Trade-off between Government Responsiveness and Effectiveness: The Impact of Minority Status and Polls in the Canadian House of Commons.” In press and Published online. Electoral Studies.

Manger, Mark and Mark Pickup. “The Coevolution of Trade Agreement Networks and Democracy.”Journal of Conflict Resolution. In press and Published online.

De Rooij,  Eline A., Matthew J. Goodwin and Mark Pickup. “Threat, Prejudice and the Impact of the Riots in England.” Social Science Research. (2015) 51:369-383.

Chzhen, Yekaterina, Geoffrey Evans, and Mark Pickup. . “When do Economic Perceptions Matter for Party Approval?” Political Behavior (2014). 36:291-313.

Pickup, Mark and Geoffrey Evans. "Addressing the Endogeneity of Economic Evaluations in Models of Political Choice." Public Opinion Quarterly. 77(3) (2013) 735-54.

Pickup, Mark, Y. Chzhen, and G. Evans. "When do economic perceptions matter for party choice?" Political Behavior (2013). Forthcoming and available online.

Wlezien, Christopher, Will Jennings, Robert Ford, Stephen Fisher and Mark Pickup. “Polls and the Vote in Britain.” Political Studies. (2013) 61(S1), 129–54.

Manger, Mark, Mark Pickup and Tom Snijders. “A Hierarchy of Preferences: A Longitudinal Network Analysis Approach to PTA Formation.” Journal of Conflict Resolution. (2012) 56: 852-77.

Matthews, J. Scott, Mark Pickup and Fred Cutler. “The Mediated Horse Race: Campaign Polls and Poll Reporting.” Canadian Journal of Political Science. (2012) 45, 02: 261-87.

Pickup, Mark, J. Scott Matthews Will Jennings, Robert Ford and Stephen Fisher. “Why did the polls overestimate Lib Dem support? Sources of Polling Error in the 2010 British General Election.” Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties (2011) 21: 179-209.

Fisher, Stephen , Robert Ford, Will Jennings, Mark Pickup and Christopher Wlezien “From Polls to Votes to Seats: Forecasting the 2010 British Election.” Electoral Studies (2011) 30:250-57.

Evans, Geoff and Mark Pickup. “Reversing the Causal Arrow: The Political Conditioning of Economic Perceptions in the 2000-2004 US Presidential Election Cycle.” Journal of Politics. (2010) 72:1236-51.

Pickup, Mark. “Better Know Your Dependent Variable: A Multination Analysis of Government Support Measures in Economic Popularity Models.” British Journal of Political Science (2010) 40:449-68.

Pickup, Mark. “Measure Twice, Model Once: Introduction to Methods for Better Longitudinal Measurement.” Electoral Studies (2009) 28: 354-367.

Pickup, Mark and Christopher Wlezien. “On Filtering Longitudinal Public Opinion Data: Issues in Identification and Representation of the True Change.”  Electoral Studies (2009) 28: 349-53.

Pickup, Mark. “Testing for Fractional Integration in Party Popularity in the Presence of Structural Breaks.” Journal of Elections, Parties and Public Opinion (2009) 19: 105-16.

Pickup, Mark and Richard Johnston. Campaign Trial Heats as Election Forecasts: Measurement Error and Bias in 2004 Presidential Campaign Polls.” International Journal of Forecasting (2008) 24:270-82.

Pickup, Mark and Richard Johnston. “Campaign Trial Heats as Election Forecasts: Evidence from the 2004 and 2006 Canadian Elections.” Electoral Studies (2007) 26: 460-76.

Pickup, Mark. “Globalisation, Politics, and Provincial Government Spending in Canada.” Canadian Journal of Political Science (2006) 39: 883-917. (Shortlisted for the John McMenemy Prize for the best article published in volume 39 of the Canadian Journal of Political Science.)

Pickup, Mark, Anthony Sayers, Rainer Knopff and Keith Archer. “Social Capital and Civic Community in Alberta.” Canadian Journal of Political Science (2004) 37: 617-45.


Cubranic, Davor, Mark Pickup, Paul Gustafson and Geoffrey Evans. R package ‘OrthoPanels’ released to CRAN October 2015.


The most important problem facing Canada (MIP) and legislative success data used in Pickup and Hobolt (2015) and Pickup and Whelan (2014)  can be downloaded here.