Precipitation and Aerosol
Analysis
Looking at the precipitation and aerosol map, a general
pattern for the 2001 can be found. For aerosol concentrations, Richmond
and Port Moody have the highest values. On the other hand, North Vancouver
and northern Burnaby have the lowest aerosol concentration in all of GVRD.
This pattern is caused by the density of population, the number of cars
on the roads of a city, emission of mechanical machineries (factories),
and also wind patterns.
For precipitation, the general trend is that the north
shore areas have the highest precipitation values due to orographic uplift
caused by the high mountains in that region. The lowest values occur in
southern Richmond and Delta. This dryness pattern near the Canada-US border
is caused by the pattern of storm movements. Usually, storm tracks in
the GVRD area will pass through the Richmond and Vancouver area with a
sharp cut-off point of storm clouds right above southern Richmond, southern
Surrey, and Delta. Besides, this area has the lowest elevation in the
region, as evident by its location at the mouth of the Fraser River delta
(Look at DEM Map). Therefore, orographic uplift is a non-factor in the
southern part of GVRD. The combination of these two reasons provides answers
for the dryness in the south.
As one can see, there is no observable correlation between
aerosol concentration and precipitation in the GVRD at present time. This
is attributed to the dominant control of mid-latitude storm tracks and
orographic uplift at the northern edge of the GVRD. These two features
combine to clutter up the signature of aerosol effects to the precipitation
pattern in the region. Besides these factors, there are a few technical
problems related to this study that one has to take a close look at in
order to understand the difficulty of analyzing such a complex precipitation
system.

Map 4. Digital
Elevation Map of the GVRD
When aerosol concentration is low and precipitation is
high, the air pollution level is low since the rain will be able to throughly
wash all the aerosol away. When aerosol concentration is high and precipitation
is high, the air pollution is still manageable since the rain will still
have enough moisture to wash most of the aerosol away from thte atmosphere.
It is when aerosol is high and precipitation is low, the condition of
air pollution will be the worse and causes photochemical smog generation.
The inverse relationship between aerosol and precipitation in this regard
is mapped out in Map 4 showing the areas of bad air quality generation.

Map 6.
Areas with slopes less than 5 degrees.
|

Map 2. Aerosol Distribution Map of the
GVRD (2001) |
Topography Analysis
The slope map (Map 6) shows boolean flat areas of the
GVRD. The flat areas are classified as less than 5 degrees in slope. This
boolean contraint is then overlaid with the bad air quality generation
map to see which areas are most in need for non-polluting transit in the
GVRD. It is clearly seen in Map 7 that the Richmond and Delta areas are
the most needed for a new public transit line.
Map 7. Areas most
in need of public transit line. The higher the suitability value, the
higher the need.
|
Socio-Geographic Analysis
(Population Density & Avg. Family Income)
Using a visual analysis from the population density map,
one can see that the population is most dense in Vancouver and Burnaby,
with Richmond following closely behind. The income map on the other hand,
shows that patches of Vancouver has the highest average family income.
Richmond and Delta has a general middle class income. Thus, aggregating
all these socio-geographic factors, one can predict that Richmond is a
pretty decent and feasible location for a new rapid transit line since
Vancouver Burnaby already have skytrain. However, environmental and topographic
factors still have to be included in order to do a final analysis of the
optimal areas for the new non-polluting rapid transit line. |

Map 8. Population
Density Map (GVRD, 2001) |

Map 9. Average
Family Income Map (GVRD, 2001) |
Final Results
(Post MCE results)
Now, all the factors and constraints are evaluated in
a visual basis. One can have a rough idea that Richmond is already a good
candidate for the new non-polluting rapid transit line. What are the results
when an MCE analysis is executed in IDRISI and putting all these factors
into different weightings according to importance? It has already been
mentioned in the methodology section that both aerosol and precipitation
factors are of equal importance, while income and population density is
less than them. Also, income is less important than population density
when the subject of consideration is building a new transit line. The
two dominant constraints for the transit line are water bodies and slope
over 5 degrees. When these factors and constraints are put into an MCE,
here is the result:

Map 10. Map of
suitable areas for having a new non-polluting light rapid transit line.
Now, the result is clearly shown, that the Richmond area
in dark purple is most in need of a new, non-polluting rapid transit line.
This analysis takes into account the environmental concern of air pollution
and population density and income. Richmond is more suitable than the
other surrounding areas because, it has got a relatively low precipitation
to wash away its high aerosol content compared to others in the GVRD area.
Coupled with the fact that Richmond has a high population of middle class,
it becomes clear that it is the place that need a non-polluting transport
line the most. |