Mark Pickup

, Simon Fraser University
ASSOCIATE MEMBER, Nuffield College, University of Oxford

B.Sc. (University of Calgary)
B.A. (University of Calgary)
M.A. (University of Calgary)
Ph.D. (University of British Columbia)


Phone: 778-782-8640
Office location: AQ 6039


Mark Pickup is an Associate Professor in the Department of Political Science at Simon Fraser University. He is also a Visiting Fellow in the Department of Politics at the University of Oxford.

Mark is a specialist in Political Behaviour and Political Methodology. Substantively, his research primarily falls into four areas: political identities and vote choice; the economy and democratic accountability; conditions of democratic responsiveness; and polls and electoral outcomes. His research focuses on political information, public opinion, political identities, and election campaigns within North American and European countries. His methodological interests concern the analysis of longitudinal data (time series, panel, network, etc.) with secondary interests in Bayesian analysis and survey/lab experiment design.

Curriculum Vitae


Pickup, Mark. Introduction to Time Series. Series: Quantitative Applications in the Social Sciences (2014). Thousand Oaks, California: Sage Publications, Inc..

PUBLICATIONS – Journal Articles

Bevan, Shaun, Will Jennings and Mark Pickup. 2018. “Problem detection in legislative oversight: An analysis of legislative committee agendas in the U.K. and U.S.”Journal of European Public Policy. Forthcoming.

Hopkins, Vincent, Mark Pickup, Heike Klüver. 2018. “Interest Representation in Canada: A Longitudinal Study of Interest Groups and Government Responsiveness.”Political Research Quarterly. Forthcoming.

Klüver Heike and Mark Pickup. 2018. “Are They Listening? Public Opinion, Interest Groups and Government Responsiveness.” West European Politics. Forthcoming.

Matthews, J. Scott and Mark Pickup. 2018. Economic News and Partisan Bias in Economic Perceptions. Canadian Journal of Political Science. Forthcoming.

Goodwin, Matthew, Simon Hix and Mark Pickup. “For and Against Brexit: A Survey Experiment of the Impact of Campaign Frames on Public Attitudes toward EU Membership.” British Journal of Political Science. In Print. DOI:10.1017/S0007123417000667

De Rooij, Eline A., Matthew J. Goodwin, Mark Pickup. “The Differential Impact of Threats on Ethnic Prejudice toward Three Minority Groups in Britain.” Political Science Research Methods (2017) First View, 1-9. DOI:10.1017/psrm.2017.24 

Pickup, Mark, Paul Gustafson, Davor Cubranic, and Geoffrey Evans “OrthoPanels: An R Package for Estimating a Dynamic Panel Model with Fixed Effects Using the Orthogonal Reparameterization Approach.” The R Journal 9, no. 1 (2017): 60-76.

Fuji Johnson, Genevieve, Mark Pickup, Eline A. de Rooij, and Rémi Léger. “Into the Open: Data Access and Research Transparency in Canadian Political Science.” Canadian Journal of Political Science 50 (2017): 311-328. DOI:10.1017/S0008423917000026

Robert Ford, Will Jennings, Mark Pickup and Christopher Wlezien “From Polls to Votes to Seats: Forecasting the 2015 British Election.” Electoral Studies 41 (2016): 244-249. DOI:10.1016/j.electstud.2015.11.013

Manger, Mark S. and Mark A. Pickup. “The Coevolution of Trade Agreement Networks and Democracy.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 60, no. 1 (2016): 164-191. DOI:10.1177/0022002714535431

Immerzeel, Tim and Mark Pickup. “Populist Radical Right Parties Mobilizing 'the People'? The Role of Populist Radical Right Success in Voter Turnout.” Electoral Studies 40 (2015): 347-360. DOI:10.1016/j.electstud.2015.10.007

Pickup, Mark, and Sara B. Hobolt. “The Conditionality of the Trade-off between Government Responsiveness and Effectiveness: The Impact of Minority Status and Polls in the Canadian House of Commons.” Electoral Studies 40 (2015): 517-530. DOI:10.1016/j.electstud.2015.07.003

De Rooij, Eline A., Matthew J. Goodwin and Mark Pickup. “Threat, Prejudice and the Impact of the Riots in England.” Social Science Research 51 (2015): 369-383. DOI:10.1016/j.ssresearch.2014.09.003

Chzhen, Yekaterina, Geoffrey Evans, and Mark Pickup. “When do Economic Perceptions Matter for Party Approval?” Political Behavior 36 (2014): 291-313. DOI:10.1007/s11109-013-9236-2

Pickup, Mark and Geoffrey Evans. “Addressing the Endogeneity of Economic Evaluations in Models of Political Choice.” Public Opinion Quarterly 77, no. 3 (2013): 735-54. DOI:10.1093/poq/nft028

Wlezien, Christopher, Will Jennings, Robert Ford, Stephen Fisher and Mark Pickup. “Polls and the Vote in Britain.” Political Studies 61, S1 (2013): 129–54. DOI:10.1111/1467-9248.12008

Manger, Mark, Mark Pickup and Tom Snijders. “A Hierarchy of Preferences: A Longitudinal Network Analysis Approach to PTA Formation.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 56 (2012): 852-77. DOI:10.1177/0022002712438351

Matthews, J. Scott, Mark Pickup and Fred Cutler. “The Mediated Horse Race: Campaign Polls and Poll Reporting.” Canadian Journal of Political Science. 45, no. 2 (2012): 261-87. (Shortlisted for the John McMenemy Prize for the best article published in volume 45 of the Canadian Journal of Political Science.) DOI:10.10170S0008423912000327

Pickup, Mark, J. Scott Matthews Will Jennings, Robert Ford and Stephen Fisher. “Why did the polls overestimate Lib Dem support? Sources of Polling Error in the 2010 British General Election.” Journal of Elections Public Opinion and Parties 21 (2011): 179-209. DOI:10.1111/1467-9248.12008

Fisher, Stephen , Robert Ford, Will Jennings, Mark Pickup and Christopher Wlezien “From Polls to Votes to Seats: Forecasting the 2010 British Election.” Electoral Studies 30, no. 2 (2011):250-57. DOI:10.1016/j.electstud.2010.09.005

Evans, Geoff and Mark Pickup. “Reversing the Causal Arrow: The Political Conditioning of Economic Perceptions in the 2000-2004 US Presidential Election Cycle.” Journal of Politics 72, no. 4 (2010): 1236-51. DOI:10.1017/s0022381610000654

Pickup, Mark. “Better Know Your Dependent Variable: A Multination Analysis of Government Support Measures in Economic Popularity Models.” British Journal of Political Science 40 (2010): 449–68. DOI:10.1017/S0007123409990421

Pickup, Mark. “Measure Twice, Model Once: Introduction to Methods for Better Longitudinal Measurement.” Electoral Studies 28, no. 3 (2009): 354-67. DOI:10.1016/j.electstud.2009.05.012

Pickup, Mark and Christopher Wlezien. “On Filtering Longitudinal Public Opinion Data: Issues in Identification and Representation of the True Change.”  Electoral Studies 28, no. 3 (2009): 349-53. DOI:10.1016/j.electstud.2009.05.014

Pickup, Mark. “Testing for Fractional Integration in Party Popularity in the Presence of Structural Breaks.” Journal of Elections, Parties and Public Opinion 19 (2009): 105-16.

Pickup, Mark and Richard Johnston. “Campaign Trial Heats as Election Forecasts: Measurement Error and Bias in 2004 Presidential Campaign Polls.” International Journal of Forecasting 24, no. 2 (2008): 270-82. DOI:0.1016/j.ijforecast.2008.02.007

Pickup, Mark and Richard Johnston. “Campaign Trial Heats as Election Forecasts: Evidence from the 2004 and 2006 Canadian Elections.” Electoral Studies 26 (2007): 460-76. DOI:10.1016/j.electstud.2007.03.001

Pickup, Mark. “Globalisation, Politics, and Provincial Government Spending in Canada.” Canadian Journal of Political Science 39 (2006): 883-917. (Shortlisted for the John McMenemy Prize for the best article published in volume 39 of the Canadian Journal of Political Science.)

Pickup, Mark, Anthony Sayers, Rainer Knopff and Keith Archer. “Social Capital and Civic Community in Alberta.” Canadian Journal of Political Science 37 (2004): 617-45.


Pickup, Mark and Paul M. Kellstedt. “Equation Balance in Time Series Analysis: What it is and Why it Matters.” September 9 2018.


Cubranic, Davor, Mark Pickup, Paul Gustafson and Geoffrey Evans. R package ‘OrthoPanels’ released to CRAN October 2015.


The most important problem facing Canada (MIP) and legislative success data used in Pickup and Hobolt (2015) and Pickup and Whelan (2014)  can be downloaded here.