| Avalanches represent spatial processes that
illustrate the impact of topography on physical processes. Geographical
Information Systems are designed to analyze and model such dynamic processes
rapidly, and to place the results in digital cartographic context.
An increasing number of people with limited knowledge and skills are
undertaking travel in the back country. Consequently, reliable and easy
to understand forecasting systems are increasingly important.
The basic reasoning behind the development of the model is that the
model acts as the impetus for hazard identification area by a skilled
skitourist who judges snow and avalanche conditions.
The LAWIPROG-MODEL
The Analysis of North Vancouver Avalanche Hazard Regions applies the
LAWIPROG GIS prototype developed for the visualization of avalanche hazards
for the Swiss avalanche bulletin. This prototype model is designed as a
forecast tool to produce large scale grid modeling of local hazard areas.
The LAWIPROG-Model is a simple multiplicative model for avalanche hazard
mapping.
The Swiss avalanche model uses topological and morphological features
to describe hazard areas. The attributes of slope, altitude, aspect, and
the morphological elements of ridges, gullies and basins are combined for
a given location to present resultant hazard levels. For example,
if terrain is steep and aspect considered hazardous, but the location is
situated below the critical altitude for snowpack, then the determined
hazard rating may be lower than that of areas of greater altitude.
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