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 Election Opinion Polls - 2004 Regional Results

For a more complete picture of the state of the campaign, compare the parties' standings in publicly released polls conducted by 10 different research companies. Follow the developments in separate tables for:

SES research also provides a concise report on changes in regional support for the period May 30-June 24.

 

British Columbia Results

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Link to Poll Polling Data Green Party
SES June 22-24
n=192
error= +/- 7.2% (province)
Undecided: 19%		 38 6 28 28
Ipsos June 21-23
n=800
error= +/- 3.5% (province)
Undecided: 4%		 38 8 25 26
Ipsos June 21-23
n=400
error= +/- 5.0% (region)
Undecided: 4%		 37
Lower Mainland		 9
Lower Mainland		 28
Lower Mainland		 24
Lower Mainland
Ipsos June 21-23
n=154
error= +/- 9.0% (region)
Undecided: 4%		 32
Island/Coast		 11
Island/Coast		 26
Island/Coast		 30
Island/Coast
Ipsos June 21-23
n=233
error= +/- 6.6% (region)
Undecided: 3%		 46
Interior/North		 6
Interior/North		 20
Interior/North		 28
Interior/North
Ipsos June 18-20
n=1000
error= +/- 3.1% (national)
Undecided: 9%		 36 8 32 18
Mustel June 10-17
n=721
error= +/- 3.6% (province)
Undecided: 10%		 36 7 26 28
Mustel June 10-17
n=721
error= +/- 3.6% (province)
Undecided: 10%		 18
Vancouver		 6
Vancouver		 37
Vancouver		 39
Vancouver
Ipsos June 16-17
n=1000
error= +/- 3.1% (national)
Undecided: 9 %		 34 7 32 21
SES June 12-16
n=135
error= +/- 8.7% (province)
Undecided: 16%		 37 12 27 23
Ipsos June 11-14
n=1000
error= +/- 3.1% (national)
Undecided: 9%		 37 12 27 23
Ekos June 7-9
n=2117
error= +/- 2.1% (national)
Undecided: 12%		 41 5 29 26
Ipsos June 4-8
n=2000
error= +/- 2.2% (national)
Undecided: 12%		 34 13 30 20
Ipsos June 1-8
n=1066
error= +/- 3.0% (province)
Undecided: 11%		 33 10 27 27
Léger June 2-7
n=1500
error= +/- 2.5% (national)
Undecided: 14%		 31 12
"Other Parties"		 31 26
Ipsos June 1-3
n=1001
error= +/- 3.1% (national)
Undecided: 11%		 31 13 32 23
Léger May 27-31
n=3107
error= +/- 1.8% (national)
Undecided: 14%		 32 9 29 28
Ipsos May 28-30
n=1000
error= +/- 3.1% (national)
Undecided: 12%		 39 - 34 14
SES May 26-30
n=118
error= +/- 9.2% (provincial)
Undecided: 21%		 37 5 31 26
Ekos May 25-27
n=1306
error= +/- 2.8% (national)
Undecided: n.a%		 37 - 29 30
Compas May 14-19  
n=1000*  (province)
error= +/- 3.1%
Undecided: n.a.%		 40 - 32 26
Compas Vancouver/FraserValley
May 14-19
n=207**
error= +/- 7.0% (regional)
Undecided: n.a.%		 45 - 31 22
Ipsos May 11-17  
n=2000
error= +/- 2.2%  (national)
Undecided: 3%		 31 5 33 27
Ipsos May 7-13  
n=2002
error= +/- 2.2%
Undecided: 6%		 23 10 37 32
Compas April 30-May2  
n=600
error= +/- 4.1%
Undecided: 13%		 31 - 33 32

 

 

Alberta

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Link to Poll Polling Data Green Party
SES June 22-24
n=145
error= +/- 8.3% (province)
Undecided: 10%		 62 2 23 13
Ipsos June 21-23
n=2000
error= +/- 2.2% (national)
Undecided: 8%		 59 6 20 11
Ipsos June 18-20
n=1000
error= +/- 3.1% (national)
Undecided: 9%		 45 11 25 17
SES June 12-16
n=88
error= +/- 10.6% (province)
Undecided: 11%		 51 5 32 14
Ekos June 7-9
n=2117
error= +/- 2.1% (national)
Undecided: 12%		 57 4 25 14
Léger June 2-7
n=1500
error= +/- 2.5% (national)
Undecided: 14%		 52 3
"Other Parties"		 30 15
Ipsos June 1-3
n=1001
error= +/- 3.1% (national)
Undecided: 11%		 50 10 27 15
Léger May 27-31
n=3107
error= +/- 1.8% (national)
Undecided: 14%		 54 4 28 12
Ipsos May 28-30
n=1000
error= +/- 3.1% (national)
Undecided: 12%		 49 - 22 14
SES May 26-30
n=88
error= +/- 10.7%(province)
Undecided: 13%		 51 2 33 14
Ekos May 25-27
n=1306
error= +/- 2.8% (national)
Undecided: n.a%		 55 - 31 12
Compas May 14-19  
n=1000*
error= +/- 3.1%
Undecided: n.a.%		 57 - 27 14
Ipsos May 11-17  
n=2000
error= +/- 2.2%  (national)
Undecided: 3%		 50 5 31 10
Ipsos May 7-13  
n=2002
error= +/- 2.2%
Undecided: 6%		 51 4 29 10
Compas April 30-May2  
n=600
error= +/- 4.1%
Undecided: 13%		 40
AL, SK,MB		 - 33
AL, SK,MB		 22
AL, SK,MB

 

 

Saskatchewan & Manitoba

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Link to Poll Polling Data Green Party
SES June 22-24
n=137
error= +/- 8.5% (province)
Undecided: 14%		 34 2 39 24
Ipsos June 21-23
n=2000
error= +/- 2.2% (national)
Undecided: 8%		 36 5 32 25
Ipsos June 18-20
n=1000
error= +/- 3.1% (national)
Undecided: 9%		 37 7 33 17
SES June 12-16
n=89
error= +/- 10.6% (province)
Undecided: 13%		 32 6 32 30
Ekos June 7-9
n=2117
error= +/- 2.1% (national)
Undecided: 12%		 36 3 32 28
Léger June 2-7
n=1500
error= +/- 2.5% (national)
Undecided: 14%		 38 3
"Other Parties"		 35 21
Ipsos June 1-3
n=1001
error= +/- 3.1% (national)
Undecided: 11%		 45 - 38 13
Léger May 27-31
n=3107
error= +/- 1.8% (national)
Undecided: 14%		 34 2 35 26
SES May 26-30
n=77
error= +/- 11.4% (regional)
Undecided: 24%		 42 4 35 20
Ekos May 25-27
n=1306
error= +/- 2.8% (national)
Undecided: n.a%		 38 - 36 23
Compas May 14-19  
n=1000*
error= +/- 3.1%
Undecided: n.a.%		 27 - 35 32
Ipsos May 11-17  
n=2000
error= +/- 2.2%  (national)
Undecided: 3%		 33 - 38 10
Ipsos May 7-13  
n=2002
error= +/- 2.2%
Undecided: 6%		 31 - 37 24
Compas April 30-May2  
n=600
error= +/- 4.1%
Undecided: 13%		 40
AL, SK,MB		 - 33
AL, SK,MB		 22
AL, SK,MB

 

 

Ontario

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Link to Poll Polling Data Green Party
SES June 22-24
n=393
error= +/- 5.0% (province)
Undecided: 18%		 32 4 39 25
Ekos June 21-24
n=5254
error= +/- 1.4% (national)
Undecided: n.a.%		 35 5 38 21
Ipsos June 21-23
n=2000
error= +/- 2.2% (national)
Undecided: 8%		 34 6 38 20
Environics June 17-22
n=1444
error= +/- 2.5% (national)
Undecided: n.a.%		 35 - 40 19
Ipsos June 18-20
n=330
error= +/- 5.5% (province)
Undecided: 7%		 30 6 42 20
Ipsos June 16-17
n=1000
error= +/- 3.1% (national)
Undecided: 9%		 38 6 34 18
SES June 12-16
n=259
error= +/- 6.2% (province)
Undecided: 15%		 40 2 36 23
Ipsos June 11-14
n=1000
error= +/- 3.1% (national)
Undecided: 9%		 35 4 34 22
Ekos June 7-9
n=2117
error= +/- 2.1% (national)
Undecided: 12%		 38 6 34 21
Ipsos June 4-8
n=2000
error= +/- 2.2% (national)
Undecided: 12%		 35 5 40 20
Léger June 2-7
n=1500
error= +/- 2.5% (national)
Undecided: 14%		 36 - 35 24
Ipsos June 1-3
n=1001
error= +/- .31%  (national)
Undecided: 11%		 35 - 32 23
Léger May 27-31
n=800
error= +/- 3.5% (provincial)
Undecided: 14%		 37 5 39 18
SES May 26-30
n=254
error= +/- 6.3% (province)
Undecided: 16%		 43 3 33 22
Ekos May 25-27
n=1306
error= +/- 2.8% (national)
Undecided: n.a%		 35 - 40 22
Compas May 14-19  
n=1000*
error= +/- 3.1%
Undecided: n.a.%		 39 - 42 18
Ipsos May 11-17  
n=2000
error= +/- 2.2%  (national)
Undecided: 3%		 27 - 49 17
Ipsos May 7-13  
n=2002
error= +/- 2.2%
Undecided: 6%		 26 - 49 16
Compas April 30-May2  
n=600
error= +/- 4.1%
Undecided: 13%		 40
AL, SK,MB		 - 33
AL, SK,MB		 22
AL, SK,MB

 

 

Quebec

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Link to Poll Polling Data
Léger June 23-25
n=1003
error= +/- 3.8% (province)
Undecided: 18%		 48 11 30 5
SES June 22-24
n=286
error= +/- 5.9% (province)
Undecided: 29%		 51 11 28 7
Ipsos June 21-23
n=2000
error= +/- 2.2% (national)
Undecided: 8%		 48 9 29 5
Environics June 17-22
n=1444
error= +/- 2.5% (national)
Undecided: n.a.%		 50 10 25 10
Ipsos June 18-20
n=210
error= +/- 6.9% (province)
Undecided: 5%		 53 8 23 9
SES June 12-16
n=173
error= +/- 7.6% (province)
Undecided: 27%		 52 9 30 5
Léger June 15-16
n=1000
error= +/- 3.1% (province)
Undecided: 10%		 48 13 30 6
Ipsos June 11-14
n=1000
error= +/- 3.1% (national)
Undecided: 9%		 48 13 22 9
Ipsos June 11-14
n=1000
error= +/- 3.1% (national)
Undecided: 9%		 48 11 26 7
Ekos June 7-9
n=2117
error= +/- 2.1% (national)
Undecided: 12%		 54 13 22 8
CROP June 3-9
n=600
error= +/- 4% (province)
Undecided: 12%		 44 14 32 8
Léger June 2-7
n=1500
error= +/- 2.5% (national)
Undecided: 14%		 46 13 31 8
Ipsos June 1-3  
n=1001 (national)
error= +/- 3.1%
Undecided: 11%		 45 n.a 28 n.a
Léger May 27-31
n=3107
error= +/- 1.8% (national)
Undecided: 14%		 48 8 33 9
SES May 26-30
n=178
error= +/- 7.5%  (province)
Undecided: 28%		 43 15 30 10
Ekos May 25-27
n=1306
error= +/- 2.8%  (national)
Undecided: n.a%		 45 11 36 6
CROP May 25-27
n=845
error= +/- 2.8% (provincial)
Undecided: n.a%		 45 11 36 6
Compas May 14-19  
n=1000*
error= +/- 3.1%  (national)
Undecided: n.a.%		 43 7 40 9
Ipsos May 11-17  
n=2000 (national)
error= +/- 2.2%
Undecided: 3%		 48 10 28 6
Léger May 12-16  
n=1005 (provincial)
error= +/- 3.1%
Undecided: 6%		 44 10 35 7
Ipsos May 7-13  
n=2002 (national)
error= +/- 2.2%
Undecided: 3%		 46 10 31 10
Compas April 30 - May 2
n=600 (national)
error= +/- 4.1%
Undecided: 13%		 30 5 37 7

 

 

Atlantic Provinces

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Link to Poll Polling Data Green Party
SES June 22-24
n=135
error= +/- 8.6% (region)
Undecided: 15%		 24 4 45 25
Ipsos June 21-23
n=2000
error= +/- 2.2% (national)
Undecided: 8%		 23 7 44 26
Ipsos June 18-20
n=1000
error= +/- 3.1% (national)
Undecided: 9%		 41 2 37 15
SES June 12-16
n=86
error= +/- 10.8% (region)
Undecided: 12%		 41 1 34 24
Ekos June 7-9
n=2117
error= +/- 2.1% (national)
Undecided: 12%		 28 4 43 25
Léger June 2-7
n=1500
error= +/- 2.5% (national)
Undecided: 14%		 29 6
"Other Parties"		 42 22
Ipsos June 1-3
n=1001
error= +/- .31%  (national)
Undecided: 11%		 31 - 46 21
CRA May 14-31
n=1200
error= +/- 2.8% (province)
Undecided: 18%		 24
Nova Scotia		 - 40
Nova Scotia		 27
Nova Scotia
CRA May 14-31
n=3403
error= +/- 1.7% (regional)
Undecided: 22%		 27 - 45 19
Léger May 27-31
n=3107
error= +/- 1.8% (national)
Undecided: 14%		 30 6 41 21
SES May 26-30
n=74
error= +/- 12% (regional)
Undecided: 25%		 26 3 45 27
Ekos May 25-27
n=1306
error= +/- 2.8% (national)
Undecided: n.a%		 21 - 61 18
Compas May 14-19  
n=1000*
error= +/- 3.1%
Undecided: n.a.%		 26 - 50 20
Ipsos May 11-17  
n=2000
error= +/- 2.2%  (national)
Undecided: 3%		 29 - 49 20
Ipsos May 7-13  
n=2002
error= +/- 2.2%
Undecided: 6%		 28 - 48 20
Compas April 30-May2  
n=600
error= +/- 4.1%
Undecided: 13%		 36 - 41 21

 

Notes:

*The core national representative sample was approximately 1000 with over-samples in BC and Alberta, for a total sample of 1579.

 

Links to Polling Companies

 

 

 

I welcome any feedback and suggestions for fresh material to add to this site -

Andrew Heard
Political Science Department  --  Simon Fraser university