For a more complete picture of the 2006 federal election campaign, compare the parties' standings in publicly released polls conducted by 12 different research companies. Follow the developments in separate tables for:

Click for 2004 Election Results in BC

British Columbia Poll Results

Link to Poll	Polling Data
Election Day Share of Votes Preliminary Results		37.3	5.3	27.6	28.6
SES	Jan 18-22 n=n.a. error= +/- 6.3 % Undecided: 8 %	36	5	34	23
Ipsos	Jan 17-22 n=1461 error= +/- 2.6 %* Undecided: n.a. %	37	5	27	29
Strategic	Jan 18, 19 & 21 n=266 error= +/- 6.0 % Undecided:  n.a. %	36	5	28	31
Ipsos	Jan 17-19 n=241 error= +/- 6.3 %* Undecided: 4 %	35	7	27	29
SES	Jan 15-17 n=n.a. error= +/- 6.2 % Undecided: 13 %	33	5	33	29
Léger	Jan 12-17 n=218 error= +/- 6.6 % Undecided: n.a. %	40	7	26	26
Mustel	Jan 10-16 n=1002 error= +/- 3.2 % Undecided: 14 %	38	6	27	29
Strategic	Jan 11-14 n=199 error= +/- 7.0 % Undecided: n.a. %	42	5	31	22
SES	Jan 8-12 n=n.a. error= +/- 6.1 % Undecided: 11 %	39	6	34	21
Strategic	Jan 9-10 n=n.a. error= +/- 7.0 % Undecided: n.a. %	47	3	26	24
Strategic	Jan 5-8 n=200 error= +/- 7.0 % Undecided: n.a. %	37	9	28	26
Ekos	Jan 3-5 n=337 error= +/- 5.3 % Undecided: n.a %	42	7	31	18
Ipsos	Jan 2-5 n=264 error= +/- 6.0 %* Undecided: 7 %	35	7	33	24
Strategic	Dec 31-Jan 1 n=133 error= +/- 8.5 %* Undecided: n.a.%	40	5	31	25
Ipsos	Dec 29-30 n=122 error= +/- 8.9 %* Undecided: 7 %	28	5	32	34
Léger	Dec 17-21 n=169 error= +/- 7.7 %* Undecided:  n.a.%	34	5	32	24
Strategic	Dec 15-18 n=199 error= +/- 7.0% Undecided: n.a.%	29	5	38	29
Léger	Dec 9-13 n=305 error= +/- 5.6 %* Undecided:  n.a.%	38	7	26	28
Ipsos provides sub-provincial results	Dec 7-12 n=1600 error= +/- 2.5% Undecided: 15 %	33	9	32	25
Strategic	Dec 10-12 n=199 error= +/- 7.0% Undecided: n.a.%	32	9	29	30
Ekos	Dec 6-8 n=401 error= +/- 4.9% Undecided: n.a.%	34	4	31	30
Strategic	Dec 5-7 n=199 error= +/- 7.0% Undecided: n.a.%	29	10	30	31
Strategic	Nov 30-Dec 3 n=209 error= +/- 6.8% Undecided: n.a.%	31	10	34	25
Ipsos	Nov 29-Dec 1 n=303 error= +/- 5.7%* Undecided: n.a. %	34	9	31	26
Strategic	Nov 24-30 n=333 error= +/- 5.4% Undecided: n.a.%	32	9	34	26
Ipsos	Nov 22-24 n=1000 (national) error= +/- 3.1% Undecided: n.a.%	33	8	26	33
Mustel	Nov 8-14 n=500 error= +/- 4.4.% Undecided: 11.%	24	4	38	33
Léger	Nov 2-8 n=115 error= +/- n.a.% Undecided: n.a.%	30	8	30	28

return to top

Click for 2004 Election Results in ALTA

Alberta

Link to Poll	Polling Data
Election Day Share of Votes Preliminary Results		65.0	6.6	15.3	11.7
SES	Jan 18-22 n=n.a. error= +/- 7.5 % Undecided: 9 %	55	7	18	19
Ipsos	Jan 17-22 n=911 error= +/- 3.2 %* Undecided: n.a. %	68	6	14	11
Ipsos	Jan 17-19 n=170 error= +/- 7.5 %* Undecided: 8 %	64	12	13	8
SES	Jan 15-17 n=n.a. error= +/- 7.6 % Undecided: 13 %	55	8	26	11
Léger	Jan 12-17 n=172 error= +/- 7.5 % Undecided: n.a. %	61	6	19	12
SES	Jan 8-12 n=n.a. error= +/- 7.4 % Undecided: 10 %	55	7	27	12
Ekos	Jan 3-5 n=167 error= +/- 7.6 % Undecided: n.a %	62	7	18	13
Ipsos	Jan 2-5 n=194 error= +/- 7.0 %* Undecided: 6 %	51	6	29	13
Léger	Dec 9-13 n=300 error= +/- 5.7 %* Undecided:  n.a.%	51	9	27	11
Léger	Dec 2-7 n=187 error= +/- 7.3% * Undecided:  n.a.%	55	9	26	9
Ipsos	Nov 29-Dec 1 n=222 error= +/- 6.7 % * Undecided: n.a. %	63	7	19	11
Ipsos	Nov 22-24 n=1000 (national) error= +/- 3.1% Undecided: n.a.%	53	4	27	15
Léger	Nov 2-8 n=96 error= +/- n.a.% Undecided: n.a.%	60	4	18	14

return to top

Click for 2004 Election Results in SASK or MAN

Saskatchewan & Manitoba

Link to Poll	Polling Data
Election Day Share of Votes Preliminary Results		48.9 Sask 42.8 Man	3.2 Sask 3.9 Man	22.4 Sask 26.0Man	24.0 Sask 25.4 Man
SES	Jan 18-22 n=n.a. error= +/- 8,.5 % Undecided: 14 %	47	5	25	23
Ipsos	Jan 17-22 n=657 error= +/- 3.8 % Undecided: n.a. %	46	4	22	26
SES	Jan 15-17 n=n.a. error= +/- 7.7 % Undecided: 16 %	41	4	28	27
Léger	Jan 12-17 n=113 error= +/- 9.2 % * Undecided: n.a. %	42	5	30	21
SES	Jan 8-12 n=n.a. error= +/- 7.6 % Undecided: 11 %	42	6	30	22
Ekos	Jan 3-5 n=115 error= +/- 9.2 % Undecided: n.a %	44	3	34	19
Ipsos	Jan 2-5 n=111 error= +/- 8.4 %* Undecided: 9 %	41	3	29	24
Léger	Dec 9-13 n=305 error= +/- 5.6 %* Undecided:  n.a.%	38	4	26	29
Léger	Dec 2-7 n=151 error= +/- 8.0 %* Undecided:  n.a.%	32	9	39	23
Ipsos	Nov 29-Dec 1 n=309 error= +/- 5.7%* Undecided: n.a. %	43	2	29	23
Ipsos	Nov 22-24 n=1000 (national) error= +/- 3.1% Undecided: n.a.%	46	1	31	21
Léger	Nov 2-8 n=96 error= n.a.% Undecided: n.a.%	32	9	31	27

return to top

Click for 2004 Election Results in ONT

Ontario

Link to Poll	Polling Data
Election Day Share of Votes Preliminary Results		35.1	4.7	39.9	19.4
SES	Jan 20-22 n=n.a. error= +/- 5.1 % Undecided: 14 %	36	6	38	20
Strategic	Jan 19, 21 & 22 n=947 error= +/- 3.2 % Undecided:  n.a. %	37	6	36	22
Ipsos	Jan 17-22 n=3691 error= +/- 1.6 % Undecided: n.a. %	37	4	35	21
Strategic GTA	Jan 18, 19 & 21 n=326 error= +/- 5.4 % Undecided:  n.a. %	30	5	45	20
Strategic Rest of Ontario	Jan 18, 19 & 21 n=432 error= +/- 4.7 % Undecided:  n.a. %	42	6	30	22
SES GTA	Jan 15-17 n=n.a. error= +/- 6.2 % Undecided: 13 %	37	8	36	20
Ekos	Jan 18-20 n=967 error= +/- 3.2 % Undecided:  14.3 %	36	6	33	24
SES	Jan 18-20 n=n.a. error= +/- 5.5 % Undecided: 14 %	35	8	39	17
Ipsos	Jan 17-19 n=683 error= +/- 3.7 %* Undecided: 3 %	38	5	34	21
SES	Jan 17-19 n=n.a. error= +/- 5.6 % Undecided: 12 %	36	7	39	19
Strategic Rest of Ontario	Jan 15-17 n=331 error= +/- 5.4 % Undecided: n.a. %	41	8	28	23
Strategic GTA Only	Jan 15-17 n=235 error= +/- 6.4 % Undecided: n.a. %	32	5	45	18
Ekos	Jan 15-17 n=759 error= +/- 5.7 % Undecided: 14 %	39	6	35	23
SES	Jan 15-17 n=n.a. error= +/- 6.4 % Undecided: 20 %	40	5	39	15
Léger	Jan 12-17 n=592 error= +/- 4.0 % Undecided: n.a. %	39	4	37	19
Strategic	Jan 14-16 n=568 error= +/- 4.1 % Undecided: n.a. %	39	8	33	20
Strategic Rest of Ontario	Jan 11-14 n=331 error= +/- 5.4 % Undecided: n.a. %	42	9	28	20
Strategic GTA Only	Jan 11-14 n=237 error= +/- 6.4 % Undecided: n.a. %	37	7	40	16
SES	Jan 12-14 n=n.a. error= +/- 5.6 % Undecided: 12 %	37	6	34	24
SES	Jan 10-12 n=n.a. error= +/- 5.6 % Undecided: 11 %	39	6	35	19
Strategic	Jan 9-10 n=n.a. error= +/- 4.1 % Undecided: n.a. %	36	8	37	19
SES	Jan 8-10 n=n.a. error= +/- 5.6 % Undecided: 12 %	44	4	37	15
Ekos	Jan 7-9 n=n.a. error= +/- 4.3% Undecided: n.a. %	44	5	34	16
Strategic	Jan 5-8 n=569 error= +/- 4.1 % Undecided: n.a. %	41	5	40	14
Ekos	Jan 3-5 n=713 error= +/- 3.7 % Undecided: n.a %	36	5	38	20
Ipsos	Jan 2-5 n=762 error= +/- 3.6%* Undecided: 5 %	39	6	34	20
Ekos	Jan 1-3 n=522 error= +/- 4.3 % Undecided: 7 %	35	5	39	21
SES	Jan 1-3 n=n.a. error= +/- 5.7 % Undecided:  15 %	39	7	38	16
Strategic	Dec 30-31 & Jan 3 n=568 error= +/- 4.1 % Undecided: n.a.%	34	8	37	21
Ipsos	Dec 29-30 n=350 error= +/- 5.2 %* Undecided:  5 %	38	5	36	19
SES	Dec 27-29 n=n.a. error= +/- 5.7 % Undecided:  14 %	37	6	44	15
Ipsos	Dec 20-22 n=330 error= +/- 5.4 %* Undecided:  7 %	38	6	40	15
SES	Dec 20-22 n=n.a. error= +/- 5.7 % Undecided:  15 %	37	5	44	14
Léger	Dec 17-21 n=461 error= +/- 4.6 %* Undecided:  n.a.%	31	6	43	17
Strategic	Dec 15-18 n=569 error= +/- 4.1 % Undecided: n.a.%	32	6	41	21
Léger	Dec 9-13 n=603 error= +/- 4.0% Undecided:  n.a.%	31	8	42	18
Strategic	Dec 10-12 n=569 error= +/- 4.1% Undecided: n.a.%	32	6	44	18
Strategic	Dec 5-7 n=569 error= +/- 4.1% Undecided: n.a.%	36	5	42	17
Léger	Dec 2-7 n=690 error= +/- 3.8% Undecided:  n.a.%	28	6	47	18
SES	Dec 4-6 n=n.a. error= +/- 5.7% * Undecided: 16 %	28	5	48	19
Strategic	Nov 30-Dec 3 n=578 error= +/- 4.1% Undecided: n.a.%	30	9	42	19
Ipsos	Nov 29-Dec 1 n=747 error= +/- 3.7.%* Undecided: n.a. %	35	6	38	20
SES	Nov 29-Dec 1 n=n.a. error= +/- 5.9% Undecided: 20 %	33	5	43	18
Strategic	Nov 24-27 n=569 error= +/- n.a.% Undecided: n.a.%	35	5	40	20
Ipsos	Nov 22-24 n=1000 (national) error= +/- 3.1% Undecided: n.a.%	33	6	44	16
Léger	Nov 2-8 n=496 error= +/- n.a.% Undecided: n.a.%	28	9	40	19

return to top

Click for 2004 Election Results in QUE

Quebec

Link to Poll	Polling Data
Election Day Share of Votes Preliminary Results		42.1	24.6	20.7	7.5
SES	Jan 20-22 n=n.a. error= +/- 5.1 % Undecided: 13 %	42	27	19	8
Strategic	Jan 19, 21 & 22 n=617 error= +/- 4.0 % Undecided:  n.a. %	48	25	14	7
Strategic Montreal	Jan 19, 21 & 22 n=297 error= +/- 5.7 % Undecided:  n.a. %	48	16	18	10
Strategic Rest of Quebec	Jan 19, 21 & 22 n=321 error= +/- 5.9 % Undecided:  n.a. %	48	32	11	5
Ipsos	Jan 17-22 n=2260 error= +/- 2.0 % Undecided: n.a. %	48	24	14	11
Ekos	Jan 18-20 n=618 error= +/- 3.9 % Undecided:  12.3 %	50	25	13	8
SES	Jan 18-20 n=n.a. error= +/- 6.2 % Undecided: 13 %	44	27	18	9
Ipsos	Jan 17-19 n=403 error= +/- 4.9 %* Undecided: 4 %	46	27	14	9
SES	Jan 17-19 n=n.a. error= +/- 6.1 % Undecided: 12 %	44	26	18	9
Strategic Montreal Only	Jan 15-17 n=177 error= +/- 7.4 % Undecided: n.a. %	53	23	16	7
Strategic Rest of Quebec	Jan 15-17 n=193 error= +/- 7.1 % Undecided: n.a. %	43	38	11	4
SES	Jan 15-17 n=n.a. error= +/- 6.4 % Undecided: 20 %	41	23	20	12
Ekos	Jan 15-17 n=496 error= +/- 4.4 % Undecided: 19.0 %	47	25	16	7
Léger	Jan 12-17 n=400 error= +/- 4.9% Undecided: n.a. %	42	26	20	8
Strategic	Jan 14-16 n=370 error= +/- 5.1 % Undecided: n.a.%	47	31	12	7
CROP	Jan 11-16 n=872 error= +/- 3.5 % Undecided: 13 %	39	25	20	n.a.
Strategic Montreal Only	Jan 11-14 n=176 error= +/- 7.4 % Undecided: n.a. %	46	19	23	9
Strategic Rest of Quebec	Jan 11-14 n=194 error= +/- 7.1 % Undecided: n.a. %	41	32	12	9
SES	Jan 12-14 n=n.a. error= +/- 6.5 % Undecided: 20 %	45	24	20	7
SES	Jan 10-12 n=n.a. error= +/- 6.6 % Undecided: 22 %	45	28	19	5
Strategic	Jan 9-10 n=n.a. error= +/- 5.1 % Undecided: n.a. %	50	23	16	7
SES	Jan 8-10 n=n.a. error= +/- 6.5 % Undecided: 20 %	50	21	18	8
Ekos	Jan 7-9 n=n.a. error= +/- 5.4 % Undecided: n.a. %	52	19	17	8
Strategic	Jan 5-8 n=370 error= +/- 5.1 % Undecided: n.a. %	52	19	21	6
Ekos	Jan 3-5 n=519 error= +/- 4.3 % Undecided: n.a %	45	20	21	10
Ipsos	Jan 2-5 n=495 error= +/- 4.4 %* Undecided: 6 %	45	19	23	9
Ekos	Jan 1-3 n=395 error= +/- 4.9 % Undecided: 8 %	44	20	22	10
SES	Jan 1-3 n=n.a. error= +/- 6.5 % Undecided:  20 %	52	12	27	6
Strategic	Dec 30-31 & Jan 3 n=370 error= +/- 5.1% Undecided: n.a.%	52	13	26	5
Ipsos	Dec 29-30 n=216 error= +/- 6.7 %* Undecided:  7 %	52	12	26	6
SES	Dec 27-29 n=n.a. error= +/- 6.4 % Undecided:  19 %	53	7	31	6
Ipsos	Dec 20-22 n=222 error= +/- 6.6 %* Undecided:  7 %	54	7	24	10
SES	Dec 20-22 n=n.a. error= +/- 5.7% Undecided:  19 %	48	11	33	5
Léger	Dec 17-21 n=291 error= +/- 5.7% Undecided:  n.a.%	50	7	31	10
Strategic	Dec 15-18 n=371 error= +/- 5.1% Undecided: n.a.%	55	10	23	9
Léger	Dec 9-13 n=504 error= +/- 4.4% Undecided:  n.a.%	50	9	30	10
Strategic	Dec 10-12 n=371 error= +/- 5.1% Undecided: n.a.%	54	10	24	7
Strategic	Dec 5-7 n=370 error= +/- 5.1% Undecided: n.a.%	56	4	29	6
Léger	Dec 2-7 n=413 error= +/- 8.9% * Undecided:  n.a.%	50	9	32	7
SES	Nov 29-Dec 1 n=n.a. error= +/- 6.5% Undecided: 21 %	46	10	32	7
Strategic	Nov 30-Dec 3 n=398 error= +/- 4.9% Undecided: n.a.%	56	8	26	6
Ipsos	Nov 29-Dec 1 n=359 error= +/- 5.3.%* Undecided: n.a. %	57	7	26	7
SES	Nov 29-Dec 1 n=n.a. error= +/- 6.1% Undecided: 11 %	50	9	30	6
Strategic	Nov 24-27 n=370 error= +/- n.a.% Undecided: n.a.%	54	8	30	7
Ipsos	Nov 22-24 n=1000 (national) error= +/- 3.1% Undecided: n.a.%	59	10	23	4
Léger	Nov 2-8 n=319 error= +/- n.a.% Undecided: n.a.%	48	6	29	9

return to top

Click for 2004 Election Results in: NS, NB, PEI or NL

Atlantic Provinces

Link to Poll	Polling Data
Ipsos	Jan 17-22 n=668 error= +/- 3.8 % Undecided: n.a. %	31	2	38	28
Strategic	Jan 17-22 n=269 error= +/- 6.0 %* Undecided: n.a. %	36	5	34	24
Ipsos	Jan 17-19 n=129 error= +/- 8.6 %* Undecided: 5 %	39	2	37	22
SES GTA	Jan 15-17 n=n.a. error= +/- 7.5 % Undecided: 11 %	40	3	35	20
SES	Jan 15-17 n=n.a. error= +/- 9.7 % Undecided: 12 %	44	1	38	17
CRA Report includes results by province	Jan11-14 n=1572 error= +/- 2.5% Undecided: 16 %	36	2	41	20
Bristol Report includes results by province	Jan 10-12 n=1500 error= +/- 2.5 % Undecided: 27%	37	-	45	16
SES	Jan 8-12 n=n.a. error= +/- 6.1 % Undecided: 16 %	40	2	38	20
Ekos	Jan 3-5 n=117 error= +/- 2.2% Undecided: n.a %	33	1	48	18
Ipsos	Jan 2-5 n=154 error= +/- 7.9 %* Undecided: 9 %	33	-	42	23
SES	Dec 27-29 n=n.a. error= +/- 10.1% Undecided: 19 %	42	3	42	13
Léger	Dec 2-7 n=134 error= +/- 8.6% * Undecided:  n.a.%	31	3	47	19
Ipsos	Nov 29-Dec 1 n=181 error= +/- 7.4.%* Undecided: n.a. %	32	2	48	18
SES	Nov 29-Dec 1 n=n.a. error= +/- 9.9% Undecided: 11 %	31	-	49	18
CRA Report includes results by province	Nov 15-30 n=1504 error= +/- 2.5% Undecided: 16 %	27	1	46	19
Ipsos	Nov 22-24 n=1000 (national) error= +/- 3.1% Undecided: n.a.%	35	1	46	19
Léger	Nov 2-8 n=82 error= +/- 11.4 %* Undecided: n.a.%	24	5	43	23

Notes:

* = approx. margin of error calculated from (0.5/(SQRTn*1.96))*100, where n is the sample size.  When trying to do quick mental math to figure out a margin of error for a poll you hear about in the media, try 1/SQRTn*100.

Links to Polling Companies

• Bristol
• Compas
• Corporate Research Associates
• Decmia
• Ekos - election surveys sponsored by Toronto Star/La Presse/Le Soleil
• Environics
• Ipsos Canada - election surveys sponsored by Canwest/Global
• Léger Marketing
• Mustel
• Pollara
• SES Research - election surveys sponsored by CPAC
• Strategic Counsel - election surveys sponsored by CTV/Globe & Mail
• Queen's University Public Opinion Surveys Archive

return to top