Barry D Smith - Population and Ecological Models

Population and Ecological Models

Barry D. Smith, Ph.D.



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		Models

1]		Clutch and brood survivorship

2]		Species-habitat associations power analysis

3]		Habitat capability

4]		Species richness

5]		Competitive fitness

6]		Harvest forecasting

7]		Multiple series time-series analysis

8]		Size frequency analysis for continuous growth with constant recruitment

9]		Size frequency analysis for continuous growth with pulsed recruitment

10]		Size frequency analysis for instar growth with pulsed recruitment

11]		Angler dynamics

12]		Migration-distribution

Competitive fitness

This application estimates the probability, relative to its competitors, that an individual will be the successful competitor when engaged in a contest for limited resources.

The model structure uses measured covariates to estimate each competitor's objective probabilities of winning a contest, but also uses Bayesian probability theory to assess each competitor's intrinsic and unmeasured (or unmeasurable) relative competitive advantage beyond that predictable by covariate data.

A pedagogical example of this model estimates the probability, relative to its siblings, that an offspring will be fed by a provisioning parent when that parent returns form a foraging excursion with food.