2009 Provincial & Regional Election Polls

For a more complete picture of a potential election campagin, compare the parties' standings in publicly released election polls conducted by over a dozen different research companies. Follow the developments in separate tables for:

Click for 2008 Election Results in BC

British Columbia Election Polls 2009

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Link to Poll	Polling Data
2008 Election % Votes		44.5	9.4	19.3	26.1
Ekos	Jan 27-Feb 2 n=370 error= +/- 5.1 % Undecided: n.a. %	30	16	28	23
Decima	Jan 21-31 n=n.a. error= +/- 6.2 % Undecided: n.a. %	32	12	30	24
Angus Reid	Jan 25-26 n=1005 (national) error= +/- 3.1 % Undecided:n.a. %	35	6	25	30
Ekos	Jan 20-26 n=323 error= +/- 5.5 % Undecided: n.a. %	32	15	27	22
Ipsos	Jan 19-21 n=120 error= +/- 9.1 %* Undecided: n.a. %	36	12	24	27
Ekos	Jan 13-19 n=334 error= +/- 5.4 % Undecided: n.a. %	36	15	25	20
Angus Reid	Jan 12-13 n=1077 (national) error= +/- 3.0 % Undecided:n.a. %	40	13	25	22
Ekos	Jan 6-12 n=354 error= +/- 1.6 % Undecided: n.a. %	33	19	23	24
Strategic Counsel	Jan 5-8 n=259 error= +/- 6.2 %* Undecided: n.a. %	32	8	28	31
Ekos	Jan 4-5 n=179 error= +/- 7.3 % Undecided: n.a. %	34	19	21	26
Ekos	Dec 9-15 n=322 error= +/- 5.5 % Undecided: n.a. %	35	13	24	29
Angus Reid	Dec 9-10 n=1000 (national) error= +/- 3.1 % Undecided:n.a. %	42	8	23	26
Ekos	Nov 25-Dec 8 n=614 error= +/- 4.0 % Undecided: n.a. %	35	13	25	26
Ekos	Nov 11-24 n=646 error= +/- 3.9 % Undecided: n.a. %	36	17	23	24
Ipsos	Nov 17-19 n=119 error= +/- 9.2 %* Undecided: n.a. %	37	10	17	34
Angus Reid	Nov 14-16 n=1005 (national) error= +/- 3.1 % Undecided:n.a. %	44	12	19	25
Nanos	Nov 7-10 n=119 error= +/- 9.1 % Undecided: 18.0 %	37	11	29	23
Ekos	Oct 28-Nov 3 n=283 error= +/- 5.8 % Undecided:n.a. %	42	12	20	25
Ekos	Oct 21-27 n=302 error= +/- 5.6 % Undecided:n.a. %	37	9	25	29
Ipsos	Oct 20-22 n=1003 (national) error= +/- 3.1 % Undecided: n.a. %	49	9	18	23
Environics	Oct 15-21 n=250 error= +/- 6.2 % Undecided:n.a. %	34	13	24	29
Ekos	Oct 14-20 n=307 error= +/- 5.6 % Undecided: n.a. %	38	12	25	25
Angus Reid	Oct 13-14 n=1003 (national) error= +/- n.a.% Undecided: n.a. %	47	9	21	22
Ekos	Oct 7-13 n=323 error= +/- 5.5 % Undecided:n.a. %	39	17	23	20
Segma	Oct 5-9 n=175 error= +/- 7.7 % Undecided: n.a. %	34	17	21	28
Ipsos	Oct 6-8 n=115 error= +/- 9.5% * Undecided:n.a. %	47	6	18	28
Ekos	Sep 30-Oct 6 n=274. error= +/- 5.9 % Undecided: n.a. %	42	13	22	24
Angus Reid	Sep 29-30 n=1000 (national) error= +/- n.a.% Undecided: n.a. %	42	7	23	28
Ekos	Sep 23-29 n=350 error= +/- 5.2 % Undecided: n.a. %	37	14	25	23

Click for 2008 Election Results in ALTA

Alberta Election Polls 2009

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Link to Poll	Polling Data
2008 Election % Votes		64.7	8.8	11.4	12.7
Ekos	Jan 27-Feb 2 n=251 error= +/- 6.2 % Undecided: n.a. %	52	13	18	10
Decima	Jan 21-31 n=n.a. error= +/- 6.9% Undecided: n.a. %	54	12	22	10
Angus Reid	Jan 25-26 n=1005 (national) error= +/- 3.1 % Undecided:n.a. %	54	13	17	7
Ekos	Jan 20-26 n=215 error= +/- 6.7 % Undecided: n.a. %	50	15	19	9
Ekos	Jan 13-19 n=235 error= +/- 6.4 % Undecided: n.a. %	47	13	24	12
Angus Reid	Jan 12-13 n=1077 (national) error= +/- 3.0 % Undecided:n.a. %	62	13	5	12
Ekos	Jan 6-12 n=267 error= +/- 6.0 % Undecided: n.a. %	51	12	19	13
Strategic Counsel	Jan 5-8 n=189 error= +/- 7.3 %* Undecided: n.a. %	51	11	19	14
Ekos	Jan 4-5 n=120 error= +/- 9.0 % Undecided: n.a. %	62	13	15	10
Ekos	Dec 9-15 n=305 error= +/- 5.6 % Undecided: n.a. %	61	15	14	10
Angus Reid	Dec 9-10 n=1000 (national) error= +/- 3.1 % Undecided:n.a. %	55	7	25	13
Ekos	Nov 25-Dec 8 n=440 error= +/- 6.5 % Undecided: n.a. %	60	11	20	9
Ekos	Nov 11-24 n=477 error= +/- 5.3 % Undecided: n.a. %	56	13	21	11
Angus Reid	Nov 14-16 n=1005 error= +/- 3.1 % Undecided:n.a. %	61	11	15	12
Ekos	Oct 28-Nov 3 n=246 error= +/- 6.3 % Undecided:n.a. %	63	10	18	10
Ekos	Oct 21-27 n=247 error= +/- 6.2 % Undecided:n.a. %	63	11	13	13
Ipsos	Oct 20-22 n=1003 (national) error= +/- n.a. % Undecided: n.a. %	59	8	15	17
Ekos	Oct 14-20 n=269 error= +/- 6.0 % Undecided: n.a. %	60	11	22	8
Angus Reid	Oct 13-14 n=1003 (national) error= +/- n.a.% Undecided: n.a. %	52	12	21	11
Ekos	Oct 7-13 n=230 error= +/- 6.5 % Undecided:n.a. %	67	7	14	12
Ipsos	Oct 6-8 n=91 error= +/- 10.5 % * Undecided:n.a. %	60	10	16	14
Ekos	Sep 30-Oct 6 n=213 error= +/- 6.7 % Undecided: n.a. %	61	13	22	24
Angus Reid	Sep 29-30 n=1000 (national) error= +/- n.a.% Undecided: n.a. %	61	7	18	11
Ekos	Sep 23-29 n=233 error= +/- 6.4 % Undecided: n.a. %	63	11	16	10

Click for 2008 Election Results in SASK or MAN

Saskatchewan & Manitoba

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Link to Poll	Polling Data
2008 % Votes Sask & Man Combined		51.2	6.2	17.1	24.7
2008 Election % Votes - Sask		53.8	5.5	14.9	25.5
2008 Election % Votes - Man		48.9	6.8	19.1	24.0
Ekos	Jan 27-Feb 2 n=230 error= +/- 6.5 % Undecided: n.a. %	40	8	20	31
Decima	Jan 21-31 n=n.a. error= +/- 6.9 % Undecided: n.a. %	49	8	18	24
Angus Reid	Jan 25-26 n=1005 (national) error= +/- 3.1 % Undecided:n.a. %	59	4	12	22
Ekos	Jan 20-26 n=188 error= +/- 7.2% Undecided: n.a. %	44	9	24	20
Ekos	Jan 13-19 n=163 error= +/- 7.7 % Undecided: n.a. %	43	9	22	24
Angus Reid	Jan 12-13 n=1077 (national) error= +/- 3.0 % Undecided:n.a. %	49	13	24	15
Ekos	Jan 6-12 n=214 error= +/- 6.7 % Undecided: n.a. %	41	12	27	21
Ekos	Dec 9-15 n=197 error= +/- 7.0 % Undecided: n.a. %	53	9	18	21
Angus Reid	Dec 9-10 n=1000 (national) error= +/- 3.1 % Undecided:n.a. %	54	7	17	22
Ekos	Nov 25-Dec 8 n=230 error= +/- 6.5 % Undecided: n.a. %	50	8	20	22
Ekos	Nov 11-24 n=337 error= +/- 5.3 % Undecided: n.a. %	54	8	18	21
Angus Reid	Nov 14-16 n=1005 (national) error= +/- 3.1 % Undecided:n.a. %	55	2	16	27
Ekos	Oct 28-Nov 3 n=187 error= +/- 7.2 % Undecided:n.a. %	49	10	20	21
Ekos	Oct 21-27 n=162 error= +/- 7.7 % Undecided:n.a. %	52	5	25	19
Ipsos	Oct 20-22 n=1003 (national) error= +/- n.a. % Undecided: n.a. %	60	14	14	13
Ekos	Oct 14-20 n=181 error= +/- 7.3 % Undecided: n.a. %	54	7	17	23
Ekos	Oct 7-13 n=169 error= +/- 7.5 % Undecided:n.a. %	56	5	20	19
Ekos	Sep 30-Oct 6 n=204 error= +/-6.9 % Undecided: n.a. %	52	7	23	18
Angus Reid	Sep 29-30 n=1000 (national) error= +/- n.a.% Undecided: n.a. %	50	5	13	29
Ekos	Sep 23-29 n=184 error= +/- 7.2 % Undecided: n.a. %	49	5	26	20

Click for 2008 Election Results in ONT

Ontario Election Polls 2009

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Link to Poll	Polling Data
2008 Election % Votes		39.2	8.0	33.8	18.2
Nanos	Jan 29-Feb 4 n=217 error= +/- 6.7 % Undecided: n.a. %	39	8	42	11
Ekos	Jan 27-Feb 2 n=1102 error= +/- 3.0 % Undecided: n.a. %	32	11	41	14
Decima	Jan 21-31 n=n.a. error= +/- 3.8 % Undecided: n.a. %	35	10	40	14
Angus Reid	Jan 25-26 n=1005 (national) error= +/- 3.1 % Undecided:n.a. %	36	8	35	19
Ekos	Jan 20-26 n=1150 error= +/- 2.9 % Undecided: n.a. %	32	12	39	15
Ipsos	Jan 19-21 n=332 error= +/- 5.5 %* Undecided: n.a. %	37	8	38	15
Ekos	Jan 13-19 n=968 error= +/- 3.2 % Undecided: n.a. %	34	13	38	13
Angus Reid	Jan 12-13 n=1077 (national) error= +/- 3.0 % Undecided:n.a. %	37	7	33	22
Ekos	Jan 6-12 n=1292 error= +/- 2.7 % Undecided: n.a. %	31	13	38	15
Decima	Jan 7-10 n=1000 (national) error= +/- 3.9 % Undecided: n.a. %	41	8	36	13
Strategic Counsel	Jan 5-8 n=717 error= +/- 3.7 %* Undecided: n.a. %	33	12	39	14
Ekos	Jan 4-5 n=629 error= +/- 3.9 % Undecided: n.a. %	35	14	36	14
Ekos	Dec 9-15 n=1062 error= +/- 3.0 % Undecided: n.a. %	39	13	34	15
Angus Reid	Dec 9-10 n=1000 (national) error= +/- 3.1 % Undecided:n.a. %	41	7	34	17
Ekos	Nov 25-Dec 8 n=1390 error= +/- 2.6 % Undecided: n.a. %	39	13	31	17
Ekos	Nov 11-24 n=1715 error= +/- 2.4 % Undecided: n.a. %	39	12	33	15
Ipsos	Nov 17-19 n=348 error= +/- 5.4 %* Undecided: n.a. %	39	8	29	21
Angus Reid	Nov 14-16 n=1005 (national) error= +/- 3.1 % Undecided:n.a. %	43	13	29	15
Nanos	Nov 7-10 n=241 error= +/- 6.4 % Undecided: 20.0 %	40	3	35	19
Ekos	Oct 28-Nov 3 n=1080 error= +/- 3.0 % Undecided:n.a. %	40	11	34	16
Ekos	Oct 21-27 n=1045 error= +/- 3.0 % Undecided:n.a. %	41	12	31	16
Ipsos	Oct 20-22 n=1003 (national) error= +/- n.a. % Undecided: n.a. %	41	14	32	13
Environics	Oct 15-21 n=500 error= +/- 4.4 % Undecided:n.a. %	40	11	32	15
Ekos	Oct 14-20 n=1054 error= +/- 3.0 % Undecided: n.a. %	42	13	32	14
Angus Reid	Oct 13-14 n=1003 (national) error= +/- n.a.% Undecided: n.a. %	45	6	29	19
Ekos	Oct 7-13 n=759 error= +/- 3.6 % Undecided:n.a. %	44	11	31	14
Segma	Oct 5-9 n=500 error= +/- 4.5 % Undecided: n.a. %	37	11	31	20
Ipsos	Oct 6-8 n=338 error= +/- 5.4 % * Undecided:n.a. %	40	12	36	11
Ekos	Sep 30-Oct 6 n=1146 error= +/- 2.9% Undecided: n.a. %	44	13	33	14
Strategic	Oct 2-4 n=383. error= +/-5.0 % Undecided:  n.a. %	46	9	30	16
Angus Reid	Sep 29-30 n=1000 (national) error= +/- n.a .% Undecided: n.a. %	44	8	30	16
Ekos	Sep 23-29 n=1071 error= +/- 3.0 % Undecided: n.a. %	40	9	36	13

Click for 2008 Election Results in QUE

Quebec Election Polls 2009

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Link to Poll	Polling Data
2008 Election % Votes		38.1	21.7	3.5	23.8	12.2
Nanos	Jan 29-Feb 4 n=200 error= +/- 7.0 % Undecided: n.a. %	33	22	5	29	11
Ekos	Jan 27-Feb 2 n=724 error= +/- 3.6 % Undecided: n.a. %	35	18	9	27	10
Decima	Jan 21-31 n=n.a. error= +/- 4.4 % Undecided: n.a. %	38	13	8	28	11
Angus Reid	Jan 25-26 n=1005 (national) error= +/- 3.1 % Undecided:n.a. %	42	11	4	28	14
Ekos	Jan 20-26 n=740 error= +/- 3.6 % Undecided: n.a. %	37	16	7	29	9
Ipsos	Jan 19-21 n=227 error= +/- 6.6 %* Undecided: n.a. %	37	15	9	30	9
Ekos	Jan 13-19 n=610 error= +/- 4.0 % Undecided: n.a. %	36	18	8	26	11
Leger	Jan 13-19 n=1000 error= +/- 3.1 % Undecided: 8 %	40	17	4	23	15
Angus Reid	Jan 12-13 n=1077 (national) error= +/- 3.0 % Undecided:n.a. %	37	16	4	26	13
Ekos	Jan 6-12 n=858 error= +/- 3.4 % Undecided: n.a. %	41	18	9	23	9
Decima	Jan 7-10 n=1000 (national) error= +/- 3.9 % Undecided: n.a. %	36	15	9	22	13
Strategic Counsel	Jan 5-8 n=448 error= +/- 4.7 %* Undecided: n.a. %	38	16	8	21	12
Ekos	Jan 4-5 n=409 error= +/- 4.9 % Undecided: n.a. %	38	15	10	28	10
Ekos	Dec 9-15 n=830 error= +/- 3.4 % Undecided: n.a. %	37	17	9	25	13
Angus Reid	Dec 9-10 n=1000 (national) error= +/- 3.1 % Undecided:n.a. %	42	17	5	25	8
Ekos	Nov 25-Dec 8 n=1075 error= +/- 3.0 % Undecided: n.a. %	40	17	10	23	10
Ekos	Nov 11-24 n=1232 error= +/- 2.8 % Undecided: n.a. %	37	22	8	23	9
Ipsos	Nov 17-19 n=227 error= +/- 6.6 %* Undecided: n.a. %	38	20	7	24	12
Angus Reid	Nov 14-16 n=1005 (national) error= +/- 3.1 % Undecided:n.a. %	42	19	7	19	14
Nanos	Nov 7-10 n=213 error= +/- 6.8 % Undecided: 16.4 %	36	22	4	27	11
Ekos	Oct 28-Nov 3 n=789 error= +/- 3.5 % Undecided:n.a. %	38	20	8	24	11
Ekos	Oct 21-27 n=731 error= +/- 3.6 % Undecided:n.a. %	34	23	9	24	12
Ipsos	Oct 20-22 n=1003 (national) error= +/- n.a. % Undecided: n.a. %	42	18	11	22	7
Environics	Oct 15-21 n=500 error= +/- 4.4 % Undecided:n.a. %	36	19	7	24	10
Ekos	Oct 14-20 n=773 error= +/- 3.5 % Undecided: n.a. %	36	23	10	23	8
Angus Reid	Oct 13-14 n=1003 (national) error= +/- n.a.% Undecided: n.a. %	36	25	4	26	8
Ekos	Oct 7-13 n=577 error= +/- 4.1 % Undecided:n.a. %	36	23	8	23	8
Segma	Oct 5-9 n=500 error= +/- 4.7 % Undecided: n.a. %	42	20	6	18	13
Ipsos	Oct 6-8 n=196 error= +/- 7.1 % * Undecided:n.a. %	40	20	11	26	9
Ekos	Sep 30-Oct 6 n=794 error= +/- 3.5 % Undecided: n.a%	39	22	8	21	10
Strategic	Oct 2-4 n=243. error= +/- 6.3 % Undecided:  n.a. %	40	15	8	33	4
Angus Reid	Sep 29-30 n=1000 (national) error= +/- n.a.% Undecided: n.a.%	41	14	3	27	13
Ekos	Sep 23-29 n=722 error= +/- 3.0 % Undecided: n.a.%	40	17	12	26	8

Click for 2008 Election Results in: NS, NB, PEI or NL

Atlantic Provinces

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Link to Poll	Polling Data
2008 Election % Votes Altantic Provinces Combined		29.6	6.0	35.0	26.0
2008 Election % Votes - NB		39.4	6.1	32.5	21.9
2008 Election % Votes - NS		26.1	8.0	29.8	28.9
2008 Election % Votes - PEI		36.2	4.7	47.7	9.8
2008 Election % Votes - NL		16.6	1.7	46.8	33.7
Ekos	Jan 27-Feb 2 n=253 error= +/- 6.2 % Undecided: n.a. %	32	10	39	19
Decima	Jan 21-31 n=n.a. error= +/- 6.7 % Undecided: n.a. %	31	5	37	25
Angus Reid	Jan 25-26 n=1005 (national) error= +/- 3.1 % Undecided:n.a. %	31	4	31	33
Ekos	Jan 20-26 n=207 error= +/- 6.8 % Undecided: n.a. %	32	7	34	21
Ekos	Jan 13-19 n=207 error= +/- 6.8 % Undecided: n.a. %	28	6	42	6
Angus Reid	Jan 12-13 n=1077 (national) error= +/- 3.0 % Undecided:n.a. %	24	8	36	29
Ekos	Jan 6-12 n=237 error= +/- 6.4 % Undecided: n.a. %	33	9	33	22
Ekos	Dec 9-15 n=178 error= +/- 7.4 % Undecided: n.a. %	35	7	31	27
Angus Reid	Dec 9-10 n=1000 (national) error= +/- 3.1 % Undecided:n.a. %	35	2	36	27
Ekos	Nov 25-Dec 8 n=325 error= +/- 5.4 % Undecided: n.a. %	37	7	31	25
Ekos	Nov 11-24 n=337 error= +/- 5.3 % Undecided: n.a. %	35	7	33	25
Angus Reid	Nov 14-16 n=1005 (national) error= +/- 3.1 % Undecided:n.a. %	33	6	33	29
Ekos	Oct 28-Nov 3 n=190 error= +/- 7.1 % Undecided:n.a. %	33	9	33	25
Ekos	Oct 21-27 n=199 error= +/- 7.0 % Undecided:n.a. %	32	8	38	22
Ipsos	Oct 20-22 n=1003 (national) error= +/- n.a. % Undecided: n.a. %	46	6	30	19
Environics	Oct 15-21 n=250 error= +/- 6.2 % Undecided:n.a. %	31	9	31	26
Ekos	Oct 14-20 n=195 error= +/- 7.0 % Undecided: n.a. %	32	9	37	22
Ekos	Oct 7-13 n=166 error= +/- 7.6 % Undecided:n.a. %	39	6	31	24
Ekos	Sep 30-Oct 6 n=199. error= +/- 7.0 % Undecided: n.a. %	35	7	32	26
Angus Reid	Sep 29-30 n=1000 (national) error= +/- n.a.% Undecided: n.a. %	32	5	34	28
Ekos	Sep 23-29 n=178 error= +/- 7.4 % Undecided: n.a.%	29	12	41	19

Notes:

* = approx. margin of error calculated from (0.5/(SQRTn*1.96))*100, where n is the sample size.  When trying to do quick mental math to figure out a margin of error for a poll you hear about in the media, try 1/SQRTn*100.

The results from a particular poll may not be presented in these table for every region or province, because the sample size may be too small to allow reliable results.

Regional Polls in Past Elections 

You can see how support for the parties varied regionally in the 2006 and 2004 elections

Links to Polling Companies

• Angus Reid Strategies
• Bristol
• Compas
• Corporate Research Associates
• Decmia
• Ekos - election surveys sponsored by Toronto Star/La Presse/Le Soleil
• Environics
• Innovative Research Group
• Ipsos Canada - election surveys sponsored by Canwest/Global
• Leger Marketing
• Mustel
• Nanos Research
• Pollara
• Segma
• Strategic Counsel - election surveys sponsored by CTV/Globe & Mail

Other sponsors may be identified in the poll reports linked to in the table of results, above.

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